Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:15:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
46 0x46fb…1c9a crypto 584 markets active 5d ago coverage 56d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,250 (-8%) realized −$1,250 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate39%225W / 359L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day51.8pace
Fees−$20est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$174
14 days−$177
30 days−$515
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$1,395
sports 8% −$168
other 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -20.1% -27.7% 36% 28% -27.7%
≤30d 237 -9.9% -18.5% 41% 36% -21.8%
≤90d 584 -11.4% -19.9% 39% 36% -18.6%
all 584 -11.4% -19.9% 39% 36% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 36% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 33% -26.4%
15% -34.5% 30% -33.5%
20% -41.0% 26% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$21 · ×1.26 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,250
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses225 / 359
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)584 / 584
History coverage56d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day51.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 584 Trades
no open positions (97 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $14 −$6 -44%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$24 +426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$12 +105%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$23 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$9 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$10 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 38¢ $3 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 38¢ $4 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 24¢ $24 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $30 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $6 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 20¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $5 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 5¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3329 history records