Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:43:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
47 0x472b…5d5f crypto 1183 markets active 4d ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (437 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$16,820 (-64%) realized −$16,820 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate56%703W / 559L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day437.1pace
Fees−$75est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 52% −$1,820
crypto 42% −$782
other 6% −$403
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (437 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 452 -19.4% -27.1% 69% 58% -39.2%
≤30d 1262 -12.2% -20.6% 56% 46% -32.5%
≤90d 1262 -12.2% -20.6% 56% 46% -32.5%
all 1262 -12.2% -20.6% 56% 46% -32.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover437.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 46% -32.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 22% -38.9%
15% -35.1% 18% -44.8%
20% -41.5% 15% -50.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -26% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -8% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$19 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$16,820
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses703 / 559
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1262 / 1183
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day437.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1262 Trades
no open positions (384 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$7 -148%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$4 -507%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$17 -1482%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $325 −$325 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$3 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$10 -195%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$8 -185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$5 -263%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$10 -139%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$3 -152%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$8 -159%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$2 -709%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$4 -1017%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$9 -582%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 18 $995 −$995 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$6 -2161%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$4 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$8 -2104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 63¢ $1,076 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records