Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T21:17:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
47 0x4756…d77a crypto 172 markets active 9d ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy Fading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate63%109W / 63L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day24.7pace
Fees−$7est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$84
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 49% −$46
sports 36% −$72
other 14% +$88
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 172 -2.0% -11.4% 63% 46% -11.0%
≤90d 172 -2.0% -11.4% 63% 46% -11.0%
all 172 -2.0% -11.4% 63% 46% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 46% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 35% -19.5%
15% -27.6% 25% -27.3%
20% -34.7% 19% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$10 · ×0.55 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses109 / 63
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)172 / 172
History coverage7d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day24.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 172 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$5 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$14 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$5 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$9 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$12 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$7 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $5 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 344 history records