trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 19 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $179 | $179 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $179 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 19 | $298 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 06 | $727 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 25 | $1,876 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 09 | $1,244 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 09 | $18 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 06 | $1,688 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 06 | $1,423 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 06 | $16 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 06 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 04 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |