Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x47b9…b7f7
crypto · 1061 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$395 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$218 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$218
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses691 / 370
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1061 / 1061
History coverage54d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day39.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1061 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$191
14 days−$110
30 days−$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$218
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 346 -18.1% -25.9% 70% 23% -18.8%
≤30d 588 -4.9% -14.0% 70% 35% -12.2%
≤90d 1061 -8.1% -16.8% 65% 26% -12.9%
all 1061 -8.1% -16.8% 65% 26% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 26% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 14% -21.2%
15% -32.1% 9% -28.8%
20% -38.7% 6% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records