Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:29:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x47c9…2038
sports · 1239 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$371 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$386 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$386
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses528 / 495
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1023 / 1239
History coverage60d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day32.3
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 13 History 1023 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$93
7 days+$190
14 days+$376
30 days+$393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Doosan Bears 41¢ 50¢ $6 $8 +$1 (+22%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 34¢ 40¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+21%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 28¢ 27¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 26¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B struggletony 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B XI Esport 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Nemiga Gaming 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Liam Broady 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet Cholet 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Under 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $4 +$7 +187%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $1 +$2 +157%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$3 +118%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $3 +$4 +141%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$2 +172%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 +$3 +276%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $5 +$5 +92%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeas Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $2 +$5 +210%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $1 +$2 +119%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +38%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $2 +$4 +149%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $1 +$2 +109%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $1 +$1 +42%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $1 +$1 +42%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $1 +$2 +197%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $1 +$3 +206%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $4 +$4 +85%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 +$2 +134%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$368
other 1% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 35¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $10 5m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 26¢ $1 14m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 28¢ $1 22m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 37¢ $1 25m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 31¢ $1 28m
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 54¢ $1 36m
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 46¢ $1 45m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open SELL 4ikibamboni 100¢ $3 59m
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY struggletony 60¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 47¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 41¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 33¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 29¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $1 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 26¢ $1 2h
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open BUY 4ikibamboni 38¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 37¢ $1 2h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 37¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $1 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 32¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 28¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $6 2h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 41¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 32¢ $1 3h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 26¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 33¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 504 +14.3% +3.4% 47% 47% +9.6%
≤30d 1011 +15.3% +4.3% 52% 52% +11.0%
≤90d 1023 +15.2% +4.2% 52% 51% +9.1%
all 1023 +15.2% +4.2% 52% 51% +9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.2% 51% +9.1%
10% ← realistic here -5.8% 51% -1.3%
15% -14.9% 48% -10.8%
20% -23.2% 44% -19.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.77 · official $13.77 (match) · 2265 history records