Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x47d7…113a
crypto · 148 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$38 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses68 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)148 / 148
History coverage128d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days+$42
14 days+$42
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$61 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$58 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$206 +345%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$17 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$26 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$19 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -11.1% -19.6% 47% 44% -7.9%
≤30d 108 -11.1% -19.6% 47% 44% -7.9%
≤90d 108 -11.1% -19.6% 47% 44% -7.9%
all 148 +0.1% -9.5% 46% 41% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 41% -8.1%
10% -18.1% 34% -16.9%
15% -26.0% 28% -24.9%
20% -33.3% 20% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1226 history records