trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 44% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 44% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 28 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 46% | 4% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.8% | 4% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 89¢ | $42 | $43 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $81 | +$1 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $23 | −$1 | -6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 11 | $29 | −$1 | -3% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 09 | $48 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 09 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ronnie Brunswijk be the next president of Suriname after the elec | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | May 11 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 10 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? | May 09 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pacers vs. Warriors be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? | May 08 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 08 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? | May 07 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | May 07 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | May 06 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 06 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | May 06 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 06 | $5 | +$1 | +21% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 17 | $12 | $0 | +1% |