Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x47e1…c2ba
sports · 654 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$128 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$128 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$172
Realized+$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses269 / 377
Est. fees paid−$120
Open positions8
Markets (closed)646 / 654
History coverage183d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 8 History 646 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days+$211
14 days+$198
30 days+$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 31¢ 64¢ $36 $75 +$39 (+108%)
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 27¢ 68¢ $16 $40 +$24 (+150%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 60¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-1%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $9 $13 +$4 (+44%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 31¢ 30¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 45¢ 19¢ $17 $7 −$10 (-58%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 42¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 30¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $11 −$4 -34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 +$19 +112%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $33 +$19 +57%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $17 +$26 +147%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $20 +$11 +54%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $45 +$22 +50%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $36 +$31 +87%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $38 +$68 +179%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$1 -13%
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $8 −$2 -26%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $12 −$1 -9%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $63 +$79 +124%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $20 +$21 +105%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 09 $6 +$3 +56%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $22 +$18 +79%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 08 $7 +$8 +107%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $35 +$16 +47%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$6 +77%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $29 +$27 +93%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $42 +$41 +99%
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $1 $0 -7%
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $7 −$5 -72%
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $3 −$2 -74%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $4 −$3 -86%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $28 +$17 +63%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $11 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $29 +$7 +25%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$12 +122%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $12 +$8 +66%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$145
other 0% −$17
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $28 4m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 31¢ $10 5m
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 30¢ $12 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 27¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 98¢ $37 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $48 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 10¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 9¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $21 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $17 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $31 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 35¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $29 8h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) SELL Spirit 99¢ $43 20h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $31 20h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $67 20h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $20 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $23 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $53 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 38¢ $14 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $20 24h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) BUY Spirit 39¢ $17 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $26 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 54¢ $14 24h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 10¢ $3 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -11.3% -19.7% 42% 40% +10.1%
≤30d 103 -14.8% -22.9% 41% 40% -4.6%
≤90d 362 -12.6% -20.9% 37% 37% -11.5%
all 646 -6.4% -15.3% 42% 41% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 41% -8.6%
10% -23.4% 40% -17.4%
15% -30.8% 39% -25.3%
20% -37.6% 34% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $172.19 · official $172.77 (match) · 2238 history records