Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:16:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
47 0x47f5…90c9 crypto 795 markets active 8h ago coverage 27d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$61 (-1%) realized −$61 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate78%621W / 174L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day41.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$5
14 days−$11
30 days−$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 460 +0.1% -9.4% 97% 1% -9.4%
≤30d 795 -2.4% -11.7% 78% 18% -11.1%
≤90d 795 -2.4% -11.7% 78% 18% -11.1%
all 795 -2.4% -11.7% 78% 18% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 18% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 15% -19.6%
15% -27.9% 12% -27.3%
20% -34.9% 9% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses621 / 174
Open positions0
Markets (closed)795 / 795
History coverage27d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day41.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 795 Trades
no open positions (73 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$9 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1678 history records