trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +67.4% | +51.5% | 75% | 50% | +95.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +31.1% | +18.6% | 71% | 43% | +16.7% |
| ≤90d | 35 | +4.2% | -5.8% | 57% | 34% | -8.9% |
| all | 47 | +3.1% | -6.8% | 57% | 38% | -8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.8% | 38% | -8.2% |
| 10% | -15.7% | 32% | -17.0% |
| 15% | -23.8% | 30% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 23% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 31¢ | 36¢ | $620 | $720 | +$100 (+16%) |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 23¢ | 2¢ | $3,548 | $264 | −$3,284 (-93%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $78 | $89 | +$11 (+14%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $16 | $12 | −$3 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $175 | +$10 | +6% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $278 | +$722 | +260% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $1,275 | +$1,327 | +104% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,021 | −$1,021 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $2,248 | +$1,069 | +48% |
| Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 06 | $2,170 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 26 | $1,000 | +$22 | +2% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 19 | $1,564 | −$1,111 | -71% |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 14 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic | May 04 | $2,269 | +$1,264 | +56% |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | May 02 | $153 | −$153 | -100% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks | May 02 | $2,580 | −$2,115 | -82% |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins | Apr 30 | $275 | +$158 | +57% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 202 | Apr 26 | $15 | +$1 | +5% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $166 | +$141 | +85% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $1,699 | −$164 | -10% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | Apr 25 | $211 | −$211 | -100% |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning | Apr 25 | $1,268 | −$28 | -2% |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Apr 24 | $185 | −$20 | -11% |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights | Apr 24 | $149 | +$28 | +19% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 23 | $774 | +$9 | +1% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 23 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 22 | $56 | +$5 | +9% |
| Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 | Apr 22 | $216 | +$31 | +14% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Apr 22 | $269 | +$80 | +30% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 21 | $44 | +$2 | +4% |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings | Apr 21 | $12 | +$1 | +11% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 21 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Apr 20 | $72 | +$123 | +170% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 20 | $6 | +$3 | +46% |
| Kings vs. Avalanche | Apr 19 | $88 | −$6 | -7% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 19 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5 | Apr 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 | Mar 10 | $2 | +$3 | +113% |
| Spread: Capitals (-1.5) | Mar 10 | $3 | +$2 | +67% |
| Bucks vs. Spurs | Mar 10 | $3 | +$2 | +45% |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5 | Mar 10 | $2 | +$2 | +100% |
| Thunder vs. Rockets | Mar 10 | $3 | +$2 | +61% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Mar 10 | $2 | +$3 | +108% |
| Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 | Jan 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 234.5 | Jan 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) | Jan 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | Jan 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 233.5 | Jan 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Jan 09 | $4,776 | +$223 | +5% |