trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 57% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 57% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 21 | -18.6% | -26.4% | 48% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -33.4% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -39.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -45.7% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 15 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 15 | $48 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $38 | +$1 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $119 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | Apr 30 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 29 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Apr 29 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 28 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government? | Apr 28 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Apr 04 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April? | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April? | Apr 02 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 01 | $22 | $0 | +0% |