trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 29 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Jun 29 | $1,300 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Belinda Bencic be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 29 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 29 | $1,287 | −$3 | -0% |
| Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? | May 23 | $77 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 23 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | May 23 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 21 | $58 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 21 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | May 20 | $897 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 | May 20 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 20 | $909 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | May 20 | $849 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 19 | $891 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $73 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | May 19 | $894 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 19 | $905 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close | May 18 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 18 | $861 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 18 | $865 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 18 | $817 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 04 | $179 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 04 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 30? | Apr 01 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Mar 30 | $203 | $0 | -0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 30 | $30 | $0 | -0% |