Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:15:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x4875…149b
crypto · 817 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$359 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$359 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$359
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses573 / 244
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)817 / 817
History coverage598d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 817 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$71
14 days−$307
30 days−$364
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner Team Heretics 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 16? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 8? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 3? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage Ursa 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 31? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 2? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 41% −$42
weather 27% −$177
other 19% +$7
finance 11% −$97
politics 1% −$14
world 1% −$26
sports 0% −$3
tech 0% −$6
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 414 -2.0% -11.3% 83% 5% -11.5%
≤30d 635 -5.7% -14.7% 67% 5% -14.3%
≤90d 811 -5.4% -14.4% 70% 10% -13.5%
all 817 -5.8% -14.7% 70% 10% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 10% -13.5%
10% -22.9% 4% -21.8%
15% -30.4% 2% -29.4%
20% -37.2% 2% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2348 history records