trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 42% | 37% | -13.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 43% | 35% | -12.1% |
| ≤90d | 149 | -62.8% | -66.4% | 17% | 15% | -33.8% |
| all | 211 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 38% | 36% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.0% | 36% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 36% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 35% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 34% | -32.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-2.5) AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Nor | Jun 23 | $10 | +$69 | +673% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $234 | +$141 | +60% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $69 | −$49 | -71% |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $219 | −$218 | -100% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $91 | −$90 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $26 | +$23 | +91% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 21 | $13 | +$5 | +38% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $80 | +$52 | +66% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$75 | +253% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $64 | +$72 | +113% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 18 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $144 | +$237 | +164% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 26 | $297 | −$210 | -71% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | May 07 | $22 | −$16 | -74% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Apr 26 | $94 | −$94 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | Apr 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | Apr 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Apr 20 | $15 | +$7 | +47% |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | Apr 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Apr 18 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Apr 18 | $81 | +$112 | +138% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 17 | $22 | +$5 | +23% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 15 | $20 | −$12 | -61% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | Apr 14 | $69 | −$30 | -44% |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-13.5) | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Jazz | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-5.5) | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Celtics | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Cavaliers | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Apr 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Apr 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |