trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +67.4% | +51.4% | 100% | 67% | +69.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +38.3% | +25.2% | 80% | 60% | +35.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +40.4% | +27.1% | 92% | 54% | +36.7% |
| all | 37 | +8.0% | -2.3% | 65% | 43% | +14.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.3% | 43% | +14.5% |
| 10% | -11.6% | 43% | +3.5% |
| 15% | -20.2% | 41% | -6.5% |
| 20% | -28.0% | 38% | -15.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $88 | $88 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $371 | +$374 | +101% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 19 | $185 | +$186 | +101% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 | Jun 08 | $100 | +$90 | +90% |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | May 26 | $190 | −$190 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5 | May 18 | $98 | +$92 | +93% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 23 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Wuning 2: Linang Xiao vs Blake Ellis | Apr 23 | $294 | +$106 | +36% |
| Capitals vs. Rangers | Apr 13 | $211 | +$219 | +104% |
| Kings vs. Nets | Apr 05 | $106 | +$106 | +100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Mar 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Mar 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Red Wings vs. Devils | Mar 17 | $188 | −$188 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Penguins | Mar 08 | $100 | +$89 | +89% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5 | Feb 24 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-2.5) | Feb 02 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) | Jan 18 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Jan 12 | $368 | +$354 | +96% |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) | Jan 09 | $190 | +$182 | +96% |
| Spread: Patriots (-11.5) | Jan 06 | $99 | +$91 | +92% |
| 76ers vs. Bulls | Jan 01 | $191 | +$184 | +96% |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| California vs. Hawaii | Dec 26 | $102 | +$90 | +89% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Dec 20 | $204 | −$204 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 19 | $10 | +$2 | +25% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Packers vs. Broncos | Dec 16 | $100 | +$105 | +104% |
| Jets vs. Canadiens | Dec 05 | $97 | −$97 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Devils | Dec 03 | $97 | −$2 | -2% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bucks | Nov 27 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5 | Nov 22 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5 | Nov 20 | $51 | +$44 | +85% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 1 | Nov 15 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Kings vs. Canadiens | Nov 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |