Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
48 0x48a0…7159 crypto 139 markets active 2d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (97 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$123 (+7%) realized +$123 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate64%89W / 50L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day97.5pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% +$121
other 15% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (97 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 -3.6% -12.8% 64% 53% -5.3%
≤30d 139 -3.6% -12.8% 64% 53% -5.3%
≤90d 139 -3.6% -12.8% 64% 53% -5.3%
all 139 -3.6% -12.8% 64% 53% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 53% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 42% -14.4%
15% -28.8% 28% -22.7%
20% -35.8% 18% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt +5% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.23 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses89 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)139 / 139
History coverage3d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day97.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 139 Trades
no open positions (36 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $48 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -76%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$8 +32%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $53 +$27 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $115 +$55 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $114 +$50 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $51 −$50 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$5 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$7 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$15 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$3 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -82%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$3 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $7 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 338 history records