Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48a1…5111
crypto · 1083 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$58 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$95 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$95
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses916 / 167
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1083 / 1083
History coverage89d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1083 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$0
14 days−$18
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 07 $30 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$93
other 0% −$1
politics 0% −$2
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 13% -9.7%
≤30d 92 -0.5% -10.0% 92% 12% -14.0%
≤90d 1083 -1.0% -10.5% 85% 22% -11.1%
all 1083 -1.0% -10.5% 85% 22% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 22% -11.1%
10% -19.0% 11% -19.6%
15% -26.8% 9% -27.4%
20% -34.0% 6% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.96 · official $11.96 (match) · 2436 history records