Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48ac…4a7e
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$712 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$957 · open −$245
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,054
Realized+$957
Unrealized−$245
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses30 / 26
Open positions8
Markets (closed)56 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$188
Trades / day3444.0
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$957
7 days+$957
14 days+$957
30 days+$957
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 52¢ 72¢ $650 $887 +$237 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 68¢ 96¢ $341 $485 +$144 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 51¢ 28¢ $430 $239 −$191 (-44%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 45¢ 64¢ $109 $154 +$45 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 69¢ 96¢ $99 $139 +$40 (+40%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 51¢ 36¢ $136 $96 −$39 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $18 +$18 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 27¢ 4¢ $19 $2 −$16 (-87%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 0¢ 48¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 34¢ 4¢ $19 $2 −$17 (-90%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $150 −$19 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $220 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $501 −$38 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $139 +$28 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$14 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$22 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$26 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $253 −$10 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $265 −$20 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $490 −$63 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $247 −$92 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $388 −$55 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $157 −$17 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $872 −$82 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$38 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $212 +$51 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$23 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $283 +$33 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $509 −$11 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$7 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$5 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$3 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $252 −$30 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$37 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $697 −$56 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $89 −$19 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$13 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $175 +$12 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$16 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $227 +$56 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$7 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $193 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $387 +$41 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $284 +$95 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$5 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$712
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +31.9% +19.3% 54% 32% -1.0%
≤30d 56 +31.9% +19.3% 54% 32% -1.0%
≤90d 56 +31.9% +19.3% 54% 32% -1.0%
all 56 +31.9% +19.3% 54% 32% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3444.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.3% 32% -1.0%
10% ← realistic here +7.9% 20% -10.5%
15% -2.5% 7% -19.1%
20% -12.1% 7% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,054.49 · official $1,634.38 · 3500 history records