Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T04:55:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
48 0x48ba…d55f crypto 1139 markets active 1h ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (126 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$421 (-1%) realized −$421 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate90%1030W / 109L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day125.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$297
7 days−$1,311
14 days−$645
30 days−$508
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$507
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (126 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 620 -5.3% -14.3% 83% 25% -18.1%
≤30d 1139 -1.2% -10.6% 90% 15% -10.8%
≤90d 1139 -1.2% -10.6% 90% 15% -10.8%
all 1139 -1.2% -10.6% 90% 15% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover125.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 15% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 12% -19.3%
15% -27.0% 7% -27.1%
20% -34.1% 3% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$24 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$421
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1030 / 109
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1139 / 1139
History coverage14d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day125.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1139 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $63 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 24 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $85 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 24 $87 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 24 $62 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $91 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 24 $93 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $68 +$13 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $90 +$14 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 24 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 24 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 24 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 24 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 24 $55 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $58 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $60 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $89 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $66 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 24 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 23 $58 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $58 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 23 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 23 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 23 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 23 $58 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 23 $58 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 23 $87 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 23 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 23 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $58 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 23 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $84 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 23 $43 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $86 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 23 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 23 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 23 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $21 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $63 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $60 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $62 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $61 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $55 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $58 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $60 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2997 history records