trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +34.0% | +21.2% | 48% | 48% | +11.8% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +32.4% | +19.8% | 46% | 46% | +11.2% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +32.4% | +19.8% | 46% | 46% | +11.2% |
| all | 26 | +32.4% | +19.8% | 46% | 46% | +11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.8% | 46% | +11.2% |
| 10% | +8.3% | 46% | +0.5% |
| 15% | -2.2% | 38% | -9.2% |
| 20% | -11.8% | 31% | -18.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $550 | $541 | −$9 (-2%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $550 | $539 | −$11 (-2%) |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $205 | −$193 | -94% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $219 | −$215 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $662 | +$963 | +146% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $817 | −$621 | -76% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $712 | +$844 | +119% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $606 | −$600 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $505 | +$230 | +46% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $503 | +$114 | +23% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $154 | −$134 | -87% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $305 | +$111 | +36% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $409 | −$318 | -78% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$486 | +474% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $153 | +$364 | +238% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$255 | +250% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $203 | +$227 | +112% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $153 | +$264 | +172% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $72 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $153 | −$7 | -4% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $36 | +$10 | +27% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $205 | −$156 | -76% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $143 | +$236 | +165% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $156 | −$13 | -8% |