trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $16 | $16 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $6 | $4 | −$2 (-30%) |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 8¢ | 2¢ | $7 | $2 | −$6 (-78%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye tweet again by April 30? | May 01 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Apr 21 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Apr 21 | $4 | +$1 | +39% |
| Wrestlefest: CM Punk vs. Roman Reigns | Apr 21 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Wrestlefest: Oba Femi vs. Brock Lesnar | Apr 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Wrestlefest: Cody Rhodes vs. Randy Orton | Apr 19 | $10 | +$16 | +158% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 18 | $3 | −$3 | -85% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 7 | -41.1% | -46.7% | 29% | 29% | -58.9% |
| all | 7 | -41.1% | -46.7% | 29% | 29% | -58.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.7% | 29% | -58.9% |
| 10% | -51.8% | 29% | -62.8% |
| 15% | -56.5% | 29% | -66.4% |
| 20% | -60.7% | 14% | -69.7% |