Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T15:49:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
49 0x4922…630f crypto 600 markets active 1h ago coverage 33d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$895 (+3%) realized +$895 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate61%366W / 234L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day93.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$89
14 days+$0
30 days−$191
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$239
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 +1.4% -8.2% 80% 14% -8.7%
≤30d 482 -3.3% -12.5% 63% 27% -10.2%
≤90d 600 -5.3% -14.3% 61% 30% -10.3%
all 600 -5.3% -14.3% 61% 30% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover93.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 30% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 16% -18.9%
15% -30.0% 10% -26.7%
20% -36.8% 6% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
49% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$895
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses366 / 234
Open positions0
Markets (closed)600 / 600
History coverage33d ⚠
Avg bet$47
Trades / day93.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 600 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 20 $53 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $54 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $81 −$20 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 20 $43 −$9 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $350 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $147 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $199 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $38 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $317 +$18 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $372 +$42 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $188 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $181 −$79 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $200 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $152 −$103 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $179 −$60 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $147 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $148 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $55 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$8 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$10 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $293 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $284 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $182 +$16 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $291 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $294 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $199 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$7 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $46 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $43 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $35 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $31 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $62 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $69 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $67 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $56 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $38 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $36 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $62 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $29 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records