Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:15:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x4923…6866
sports · 444 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,291 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,015 · open +$1,277
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,060
Realized+$4,015
Unrealized+$1,277
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses203 / 236
Whale WR (big bets)27%
Est. fees paid−$236
Open positions5
Markets (closed)439 / 444
History coverage226d
Avg bet$164
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 5 History 439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,071
7 days−$1,052
14 days−$1,525
30 days−$812
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Carolina Royal Ravens 35¢ 100¢ $554 $1,580 +$1,026 (+185%)
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Miami Heretics 48¢ 68¢ $555 $794 +$239 (+43%)
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $255 $258 +$2 (+1%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $248 $242 −$6 (-2%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier G2 Minnesota 20¢ 22¢ $171 $186 +$15 (+9%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Boston Breach 46¢ 0¢ $236 $0 −$236 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner Boston Breach 28¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $140 −$140 -100%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Riyadh Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $171 −$171 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 13 $381 −$364 -96%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 12 $236 −$236 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $372 −$370 -100%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 12 $155 +$127 +82%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $241 +$489 +203%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 07 $23 +$13 +54%
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Jun 07 $2 +$6 +320%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Toronto KOI - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $139 +$138 +99%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Toronto KOI - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $127 −$127 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 06 $1 $0 -3%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $124 −$124 -100%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 06 $103 −$103 -100%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $90 +$92 +102%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $121 +$115 +95%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 06 $230 +$770 +335%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $91 −$91 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Win Jun 05 $222 −$222 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 05 $963 −$610 -63%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 05 $523 −$347 -66%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $123 +$139 +114%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $132 −$117 -89%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty Le May 31 $16 +$15 +96%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics - Game 2 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics - Game 1 Winner May 30 $60 −$60 -100%
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs OpTic Texas - Game 2 Winner May 30 $199 −$199 -100%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs OMiT - Game 1 Winner May 30 $140 −$140 -100%
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Lea May 30 $201 −$139 -69%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 3 Winner May 29 $257 +$239 +93%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut May 29 $365 +$804 +220%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner May 29 $143 +$212 +149%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Dut May 11 $520 −$396 -76%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Cal May 10 $310 +$690 +223%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Miami Heretics - Game 2 Winner May 09 $60 −$60 -100%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut May 09 $81 −$81 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 2 Winner May 09 $187 −$187 -100%
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag May 09 $140 −$140 -100%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League May 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty Le May 08 $225 +$268 +119%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty L Apr 25 $733 −$199 -27%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Apr 21 $128 −$128 -100%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner Apr 21 $242 +$452 +186%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Apr 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Apr 19 $100 −$100 -100%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Boston Breach - Game 3 Winner Apr 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$3,488
other 10% +$2,092
crypto 0% −$183
world 0% −$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 21¢ $25 7m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 21¢ $5 13m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 53¢ $57 17m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 53¢ $17 17m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 53¢ $25 17m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 53¢ $17 18m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 53¢ $17 18m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 45¢ $51 18m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 51¢ $107 19m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 21¢ $55 20m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 51¢ $1 20m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 51¢ $15 20m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 51¢ $4 21m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 53¢ $6 22m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 53¢ $6 22m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 53¢ $6 22m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 21¢ $3 22m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 21¢ $18 33m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 56¢ $3 41m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 56¢ $6 41m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 56¢ $3 41m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 43¢ $39 46m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 43¢ $139 46m
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 43¢ $37 46m
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 58¢ $12 1h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 65¢ $5 1h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 65¢ $76 1h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 37¢ $1 1h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 36¢ $21 1h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 40¢ $47 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -18.2% -26.0% 31% 31% -54.3%
≤30d 36 -3.5% -12.7% 36% 36% -20.8%
≤90d 219 -5.9% -14.9% 44% 44% -12.4%
all 439 +4.6% -5.4% 46% 46% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.4% 46% -4.4%
10% -14.4% 45% -13.6%
15% -22.7% 45% -21.9%
20% -30.3% 42% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,059.77 · official $3,059.77 (match) · 2415 history records