Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:24:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x4924…f328
sports · 1149 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$94,976 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94,976 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
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Net worth$0
Realized−$94,976
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses498 / 651
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$23,389
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1149 / 1149
History coverage528d
Avg bet$1,550
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,997
7 days+$18,988
14 days+$3,554
30 days−$1,347
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2,038 +$1,841 +90%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2,537 +$1,162 +46%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2,974 −$2,974 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $3,713 −$3,713 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $734 −$734 -100%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $2,382 −$2,382 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4,297 −$601 -14%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,142 −$2,142 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $3,042 +$2,443 +80%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $1,171 −$1,171 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $4,007 −$4,007 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5,992 +$5,282 +88%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $10,144 +$9,087 +90%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $3,256 +$2,261 +70%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $15,238 +$16,676 +109%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $5,179 +$2,253 +44%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $2,941 +$2,443 +83%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $8,147 +$7,833 +96%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $1,309 −$1,309 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 07 $1,959 −$1,959 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $3,121 +$3,322 +106%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $3,552 −$3,552 -100%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 07 $2,136 −$2,136 -100%
Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2,290 +$3,301 +144%
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $3,295 −$3,295 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $11,098 −$11,098 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $21,091 +$5,959 +28%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $9,172 +$4,522 +49%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $6,250 +$4,898 +78%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 07 $2,032 −$2,032 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 07 $1,933 −$1,933 -100%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 07 $2,953 −$2,953 -100%
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2,987 −$2,987 -100%
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $9 −$2 -26%
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3,456 −$466 -14%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $1,939 −$1,939 -100%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 06 $2,908 +$2,218 +76%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $2,138 −$2,138 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Jun 06 $1,763 +$3,080 +175%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $4,070 −$4,070 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $3,051 +$3,925 +129%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $3,982 +$3,452 +87%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 05 $2,464 −$2,464 -100%
Reyer Venezia vs. Virtus Bologna Jun 05 $4,232 −$4,232 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 04 $3,953 +$3,628 +92%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $3,482 +$738 +21%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 04 $3,547 +$2,786 +78%
Spread: Thunder (-2.5) Jun 04 $5,653 −$5,653 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Jun 04 $7,568 −$7,568 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 04 $10,046 −$10,046 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$74,034
crypto 6% −$8,986
other 5% −$11,957
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $2,081 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $1,016 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 76¢ $3,699 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 44¢ $1,798 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1,023 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 51¢ $2,537 4h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 31¢ $13 20h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 34¢ $3,700 20h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 34¢ $3,697 20h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $4,297 21h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Chicago Sky 34¢ $734 21h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 55¢ $2,382 23h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $2,974 23h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies SELL Chicago Cubs 97¢ $5,485 26h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 53¢ $3,042 27h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 33¢ $2,142 28h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Houston Astros 39¢ $1,171 43h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 23¢ $10 46h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 56¢ $4,007 46h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 42¢ $916 46h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $5,066 46h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 52¢ $10,144 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Seattle Mariners 73¢ $5,517 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 42¢ $3,256 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $15,238 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays SELL Tampa Bay Rays 73¢ $7,432 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 50¢ $5,179 4d
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Magda Linette 97¢ $5,384 4d
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Magda Linette 52¢ $2,941 4d
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs BUY San Francisco Giants 42¢ $3,052 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -15.0% -23.1% 42% 42% +0.5%
≤30d 104 +1.3% -8.3% 49% 49% -9.8%
≤90d 663 -9.4% -18.0% 44% 43% -13.2%
all 1149 -9.3% -17.9% 43% 42% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.9% 42% -14.3%
10% -25.8% 41% -22.5%
15% -33.0% 38% -30.0%
20% -39.5% 35% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records