trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -37.4% | -43.4% | 25% | 25% | -29.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -37.4% | -43.4% | 25% | 25% | -29.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -37.4% | -43.4% | 25% | 25% | -29.1% |
| all | 4 | -37.4% | -43.4% | 25% | 25% | -29.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.4% | 25% | -29.1% |
| 10% | -48.8% | 25% | -35.9% |
| 15% | -53.7% | 25% | -42.1% |
| 20% | -58.3% | 25% | -47.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 36¢ | 95¢ | $65 | $172 | +$107 (+164%) |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $140 | $114 | −$26 (-19%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 90¢ | $20 | $48 | +$28 (+138%) |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-17%) |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 15¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+17%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-27%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | Jun 20 | $91 | +$90 | +99% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $230 | −$113 | -49% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |