Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x4947…eeaf
crypto · 84 markets active 185d ago
0.0score
−$33,605 -91%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33,605 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$33,605
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses31 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)10%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)84 / 84
Avg bet$441
Trades / day128.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? Apr 18 $2,107 −$2,105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Apr 18 $44 +$3 +7%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Apr 18 $895 −$893 -100%
Will Florence Pugh be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 20 Apr 18 $183 −$183 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12PM ET Apr 18 $132 +$8 +6%
Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025? Dec 11 $131 −$131 -100%
Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Dec 09 $1,430 −$1,426 -100%
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Dec 05 $0 $0 -33%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Dec 04 $913 −$906 -99%
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? Dec 03 $228 −$217 -95%
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? Dec 03 $379 −$376 -99%
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act Dec 03 $6,509 −$6,509 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Dec 03 $1,126 +$7 +1%
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Dec 01 $461 −$451 -98%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Dec 01 $3,632 −$3,588 -99%
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Dec 01 $4,661 −$4,629 -99%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Dec 01 $10,125 −$10,124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Nov 30 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Nov 30 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Nov 29 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Nov 29 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Nov 29 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Nov 29 $29 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Nov 29 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Nov 29 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Nov 29 $40 +$15 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Nov 29 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Nov 29 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Nov 29 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Nov 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Nov 28 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Nov 28 $7 +$9 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Nov 28 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Nov 28 $17 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Nov 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Nov 28 $12 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Nov 28 $35 +$14 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Nov 28 $22 +$13 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Nov 28 $38 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Nov 28 $37 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Nov 28 $44 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Nov 28 $9 +$6 +70%
Will M. Tel-Aviv win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? Nov 28 $1,885 −$1,885 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Nov 28 $68 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Nov 28 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Nov 27 $123 −$65 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Nov 27 $38 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Nov 27 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Nov 27 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Nov 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$23,240
tech 16% −$5,972
crypto 8% −$24
economics 7% −$2,699
sports 4% −$1,538
culture 0% −$134
politics 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 184d
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 189d
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 190d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 190d
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 190d
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? SELL Yes 0¢ $8 190d
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 190d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act SELL Yes 1¢ $0 190d
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 190d
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 192d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $32 192d
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 192d
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 192d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $9 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $10 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $9 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $9 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $10 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $10 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $10 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $9 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $9 193d
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 0¢ $25 193d
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 0¢ $25 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $10 193d
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 0¢ $24 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $10 193d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 193d
Will Zendaya be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Act BUY Yes 1¢ $10 193d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 193d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 5 -57.3% -61.4% 40% 0% -94.9%
all 84 -22.2% -29.6% 37% 19% -91.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.6% 19% -91.7%
10% ← realistic here -36.3% 8% -92.5%
15% -42.5% 7% -93.2%
20% -48.1% 5% -93.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3388 history records