trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 21% | 11% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.0% | 11% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -33.1% | 11% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -39.5% | 11% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 11% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $521 | $521 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $488 | $488 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 25 | $1,010 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 24 | $480 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 24 | $517 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 23 | $1,011 | −$1 | -0% |
| UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card) | Nov 14 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Hurricanes | Nov 12 | $9 | +$13 | +144% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 19 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? | May 15 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Jan 09 | $131 | +$99 | +75% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $116 | +$99 | +85% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will another movie gross most in 2024? | Jan 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $20 | $0 | -2% |