trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 25% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 25 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 44% | 8% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 8% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 4% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 4% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 4% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $27 | +$1 | +3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | Dec 27 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Jalen Williams Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 24 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | Jun 24 | $32 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Jun 23 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July? | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 17 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$6 | +66% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files? | Jun 16 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 16 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party? | Jun 15 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 15 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will River Plate win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 14 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 13 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 13 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Jun 12 | $24 | +$4 | +16% |
| Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Jun 12 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more betwe | Jun 12 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 11 at 5 | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 12 | $25 | $0 | +0% |