trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -29.6% | -36.3% | 30% | 30% | -51.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -29.6% | -36.3% | 30% | 30% | -51.5% |
| ≤90d | 34 | -6.0% | -14.9% | 56% | 56% | -22.2% |
| all | 68 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 57% | 57% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 57% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 54% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 47% | -34.7% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 32% | -41.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 58¢ | 78¢ | $100 | $135 | +$35 (+35%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 16¢ | $60 | $36 | −$24 (-40%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $352 | −$350 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $8 | +$15 | +188% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $91 | −$90 | -99% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $274 | −$270 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $608 | −$600 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $253 | +$144 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1,114 | −$1,100 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $2,028 | −$2,000 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1,019 | +$1,613 | +158% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | May 16 | $507 | +$436 | +86% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics | May 14 | $508 | +$556 | +109% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians | May 12 | $303 | +$180 | +60% |
| Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees | May 06 | $303 | −$300 | -99% |
| Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies | May 06 | $202 | +$110 | +55% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | May 05 | $202 | +$101 | +50% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 29 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds | Apr 29 | $101 | +$53 | +52% |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | Apr 19 | $100 | +$73 | +73% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 15 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 12 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Apr 12 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Apr 12 | $200 | +$114 | +57% |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Apr 11 | $500 | +$208 | +42% |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Apr 10 | $50 | +$28 | +57% |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | Apr 10 | $50 | +$30 | +60% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Apr 10 | $100 | +$65 | +65% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Apr 09 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Apr 09 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 09 | $100 | +$65 | +65% |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Mar 27 | $300 | +$49 | +16% |
| Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula | Mar 25 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | Mar 25 | $200 | +$60 | +30% |
| Warriors vs. Celtics | Mar 23 | $300 | +$53 | +18% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Mar 17 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 17 | $50 | +$59 | +117% |
| Suns vs. Celtics | Mar 17 | $200 | +$56 | +28% |
| Pistons vs. Raptors | Mar 16 | $200 | +$276 | +138% |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Mar 15 | $100 | +$56 | +56% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Mar 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Mar 12 | $70 | +$105 | +150% |
| Bulls vs. Warriors | Mar 10 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Mar 10 | $200 | +$82 | +41% |
| 76ers vs. Hawks | Mar 09 | $200 | +$86 | +43% |
| Magic vs. Timberwolves | Mar 07 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Lakers | Mar 07 | $200 | +$50 | +25% |
| Mavericks vs. Magic | Mar 06 | $300 | +$131 | +44% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07? | Mar 05 | $200 | +$48 | +24% |
| Pelicans vs. Lakers | Mar 04 | $400 | +$119 | +30% |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Mar 04 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |