trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +10.4% | -0.1% | 10% | 10% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +10.4% | -0.1% | 10% | 10% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +10.4% | -0.1% | 10% | 10% | -8.9% |
| all | 41 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 41% | 27% | -6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.8% | 27% | -6.6% |
| 10% | -10.3% | 27% | -15.5% |
| 15% | -19.0% | 27% | -23.7% |
| 20% | -26.9% | 27% | -31.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 22 | $1,085 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 19 | $370 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 19 | $590 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $48 | +$50 | +105% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $700 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $337 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 18 | $512 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 18 | $527 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $1,039 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,042 | −$2 | -0% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 12 | $12 | +$10 | +85% |
| Pacers vs. Jazz | Nov 11 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks | Nov 11 | $11 | +$9 | +82% |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Nov 10 | $8 | +$11 | +138% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Oct 31 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Suns | Oct 31 | $8 | +$7 | +89% |
| Spread: BAL (-4.5) | Oct 06 | $37 | +$37 | +100% |
| Yankees vs. Twins | Sep 22 | $25 | +$16 | +64% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 17 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $5 | +$6 | +127% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 19 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 25 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 04 | $103 | +$101 | +98% |
| Will Chelsea lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Panthers | Jan 03 | $101 | +$110 | +109% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 02 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | Jan 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | Jan 02 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Jan 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Jan 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Dec 30 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |