trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 44¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Up | 23¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | Jun 14 | $7 | −$2 | -29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$2 | +218% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +46% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? | Jun 14 | $11 | +$2 | +22% |
| Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$1 | -36% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$5 | -65% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$7 | +682% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 35% | 26% | -23.4% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 35% | 26% | -23.4% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 35% | 26% | -23.4% |
| all | 23 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 35% | 26% | -23.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -2.7% | 26% | -23.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -12.0% | 26% | -30.7% |
| 15% | -20.5% | 22% | -37.4% |
| 20% | -28.3% | 17% | -43.6% |