Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:50:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x49b6…c43c
crypto · 1697 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$795 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$795 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$795
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1519 / 190
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1709 / 1697
History coverage29d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day62.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1709 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,019
7 days−$776
14 days−$778
30 days−$795
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 60¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 97¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 97¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 78¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 91¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 90¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 64¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 99¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 35¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 99¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 95¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 98¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 81¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 49¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 90¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 68¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$207
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 583 +6.7% -3.5% 87% 23% -13.8%
≤30d 1709 +5.2% -4.8% 89% 23% -13.5%
≤90d 1709 +5.2% -4.8% 89% 23% -13.5%
all 1709 +5.2% -4.8% 89% 23% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 23% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 13% -21.8%
15% -22.2% 7% -29.3%
20% -29.8% 3% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records