trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +23.7% | +11.9% | 100% | 67% | -2.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +23.7% | +11.9% | 100% | 67% | -2.8% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +23.7% | +11.9% | 100% | 67% | -2.8% |
| all | 12 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 50% | 33% | -46.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 33% | -46.8% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 25% | -51.9% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 17% | -56.6% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 8% | -60.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 82¢ | 80¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $92 | −$8 (-8%) |
| Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+5%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +39% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 22? | Jun 16 | $3 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? | Jun 16 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Dec 22 | $25 | +$1 | +2% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Al | Nov 12 | $159 | −$159 | -100% |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor F | Nov 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%? | Nov 11 | $100 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | Nov 11 | $40 | +$120 | +300% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? | Nov 08 | $209 | −$209 | -100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%? | Nov 08 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Clippers vs. Suns | Nov 08 | $46 | +$5 | +11% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 5? | Nov 05 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |