trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 100% | 0% | -1.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 100% | 0% | -1.5% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 100% | 0% | -1.5% |
| all | 18 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 61% | 50% | -3.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.0% | 50% | -3.9% |
| 10% | -27.6% | 33% | -13.1% |
| 15% | -34.6% | 33% | -21.5% |
| 20% | -41.0% | 28% | -29.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $105 | $105 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 18 | $100 | +$9 | +9% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | Jan 02 | $6,890 | +$784 | +11% |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Nov 06 | $262 | −$262 | -100% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik | Nov 01 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tour | Oct 31 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego | Oct 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruud | Oct 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedev | Oct 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Oct 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaur | Oct 30 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik | Oct 30 | $50 | +$33 | +67% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublev | Oct 30 | $50 | +$36 | +72% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca | Oct 30 | $50 | +$39 | +79% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot | Oct 30 | $50 | +$46 | +92% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Aleksandar Vukic | Oct 29 | $50 | +$6 | +11% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Muller | Oct 29 | $50 | +$11 | +21% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic | Oct 29 | $50 | +$22 | +45% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot | Oct 29 | $50 | +$41 | +82% |