trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +61.3% | +45.9% | 100% | 100% | +45.9% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +45.4% | +31.5% | 100% | 100% | +34.5% |
| all | 12 | -11.4% | -19.9% | 50% | 42% | -37.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.9% | 42% | -37.9% |
| 10% | -27.5% | 42% | -43.8% |
| 15% | -34.5% | 33% | -49.2% |
| 20% | -41.0% | 17% | -54.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | Brazil | 74¢ | 74¢ | $53 | $52 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 09 | $33 | +$20 | +61% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t | Apr 27 | $23 | +$10 | +45% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 07 | $18 | +$5 | +30% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Mar 17 | $12 | +$5 | +45% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 31 | $215 | −$203 | -94% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Jan 14 | $100 | −$8 | -8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15? | Jan 14 | $206 | +$16 | +8% |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31? | Jan 01 | $128 | +$79 | +62% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%? | Dec 19 | $118 | −$118 | -100% |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19? | Dec 19 | $75 | −$72 | -96% |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025? | Dec 10 | $97 | −$72 | -75% |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? | Dec 10 | $99 | −$14 | -15% |