trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +3.7% | -6.2% | 50% | 25% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 89% | 5% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 93% | 4% | -9.3% |
| all | 27 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 93% | 4% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 4% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $379 | $379 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91¢ | 93¢ | $17 | $17 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $3 | $3 | +$1 (+23%) |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during UFC 250? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Yes | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+11%) |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 22? | No | 98¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | Jun 21 | $332 | $0 | -0% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? | Jun 15 | $326 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 6? | Jun 06 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 6? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $10 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Trump say "Trump Accord" or "Trump Peace" in May? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May? | Jun 01 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $267 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 01 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Team Liquid win BLAST Slam VII? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | May 31 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May? | May 30 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 29? | May 29 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Black Belt (BO3) - Circuit X | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026? | May 19 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next? | May 17 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | May 13 | $17 | +$1 | +6% |