Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:22:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4a03…d09f
crypto · 73 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$60 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$61 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$61
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses60 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day60.9
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$61
7 days+$61
14 days+$61
30 days+$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+23%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5 Under 71¢ 66¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 20? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February Jun 14 $0 $0 —%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +39%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$20 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$61
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5 BUY Under 71¢ $10 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $0 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +7.4% -2.8% 82% 63% -1.7%
≤30d 73 +7.4% -2.8% 82% 63% -1.7%
≤90d 73 +7.4% -2.8% 82% 63% -1.7%
all 73 +7.4% -2.8% 82% 63% -1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 63% -1.7%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 38% -11.1%
15% -20.6% 26% -19.7%
20% -28.4% 12% -27.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.56 · official $21.56 (match) · 146 history records