trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +43.3% | +29.7% | 92% | 92% | +31.7% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +37.2% | +24.2% | 88% | 88% | +30.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +26.8% | +14.7% | 75% | 75% | -20.2% |
| all | 20 | +26.8% | +14.7% | 75% | 75% | -20.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.7% | 75% | -20.2% |
| 10% | +3.8% | 70% | -27.8% |
| 15% | -6.3% | 65% | -34.8% |
| 20% | -15.5% | 35% | -41.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 31¢ | 24¢ | $1,128 | $863 | −$264 (-23%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $222 | +$131 | +59% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $20 | +$17 | +86% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | −$13 | -62% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$13 | +62% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$13 | +65% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $121 | +$22 | +18% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$9 | +46% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$10 | +49% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$8 | +80% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 17 | $5 | −$1 | -15% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 15 | $571 | −$354 | -62% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | May 13 | $600 | −$120 | -20% |