trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championship? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 14 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 20 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 12 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 19 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 22 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 21 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 25 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Saints win the NFC Championship? | Sep 24 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 26 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025? | Aug 26 | $256 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 17 | $123 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 17 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025? | May 15 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | May 15 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 24 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Feb 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025? | Jan 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 31 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -17% |
| Newcastle United wins the Premier League? | Dec 03 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -24.9% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -32.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -38.8% | 0% | -33.4% |