Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4a35…e7e5
crypto · 389 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,661 -69%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,661 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$4,661
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses146 / 406
Open positions0
Markets (closed)552 / 389
History coverage21d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day119.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,681
7 days−$3,561
14 days−$3,824
30 days−$4,661
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$8 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$54 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$57 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$44 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$32 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$20 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$19 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$54 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$87 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$60 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$39 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$48 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$69 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$58 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$17 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$24 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$45 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$956
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-43.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -48.4% -53.3% 19% 19% -31.4%
≤30d 552 -37.5% -43.5% 26% 26% -31.9%
≤90d 552 -37.5% -43.5% 26% 26% -31.9%
all 552 -37.5% -43.5% 26% 26% -31.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover119.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.5% 26% -31.9%
10% ← realistic here -48.9% 25% -38.5%
15% -53.8% 24% -44.4%
20% -58.3% 22% -49.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.90 · official $6.00 (match) · 3500 history records