trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 07 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 28 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 22 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | May 15 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 11 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 04 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 18 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 13 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 07 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 24 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 19 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Mar 13 | $96 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 09 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 05 | $96 | $0 | -0% |