trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -44.8% | -50.0% | 17% | 17% | -43.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -44.8% | -50.0% | 17% | 17% | -43.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -44.8% | -50.0% | 17% | 17% | -43.1% |
| all | 12 | -44.8% | -50.0% | 17% | 17% | -43.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -50.0% | 17% | -43.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -54.8% | 17% | -48.5% |
| 15% | -59.2% | 17% | -53.5% |
| 20% | -63.2% | 17% | -58.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $1 | +$3 | +275% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -68% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -92% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |