trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -32.4% | -38.9% | 36% | 27% | +11.8% |
| ≤30d | 33 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 39% | 33% | -7.6% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 39% | 33% | -7.6% |
| all | 84 | -5.4% | -14.5% | 37% | 33% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 33% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -22.6% | 31% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -30.1% | 30% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 26% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $108 | $108 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $12 | $10 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $25 | +$7 | +28% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $32 | +$5 | +15% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $9 | −$2 | -19% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$9 | -91% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$2 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 11 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $113 | +$127 | +113% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $230 | −$155 | -67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | May 27 | $67 | −$47 | -70% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 27 | $1,253 | +$190 | +15% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $103 | −$13 | -12% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $638 | −$544 | -85% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 24 | $415 | −$361 | -87% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $800 | −$488 | -61% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $543 | +$643 | +118% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $213 | +$76 | +36% |
| Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-21? | May 22 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $198 | +$14 | +7% |
| Will Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? | May 20 | $31 | −$28 | -91% |
| Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $51 | −$47 | -93% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies | May 20 | $6 | +$29 | +442% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $384 | +$304 | +79% |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $102 | +$201 | +197% |
| Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings | May 19 | $2 | −$1 | -95% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $63 | +$68 | +108% |
| Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx | May 18 | $20 | +$44 | +216% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks | May 18 | $20 | −$15 | -72% |
| Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever | May 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Feb 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | Feb 12 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | Feb 12 | $2 | −$1 | -88% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Feb 11 | $1 | $0 | +37% |
| Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential ele | Feb 10 | $60 | −$54 | -90% |
| Raptors vs. Magic | Jan 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Knicks | Jan 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | Jan 30 | $1 | +$1 | +122% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Jan 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Nuggets | Jan 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Jazz | Jan 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Jan 30 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Jan 30 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Celtics | Jan 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026? | Jan 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | Jan 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Rockets | Jan 29 | $6 | +$7 | +133% |