trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +15.9% | +4.8% | 56% | 56% | -32.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +15.9% | +4.8% | 56% | 56% | -32.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +15.9% | +4.8% | 56% | 56% | -32.7% |
| all | 26 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 54% | 38% | -36.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 38% | -36.0% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 38% | -42.2% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 27% | -47.8% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 19% | -52.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $56 | +$18 | +32% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $37 | +$19 | +50% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $8 | +$29 | +344% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $159 | −$158 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $97 | +$63 | +65% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $176 | −$126 | -72% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $222 | +$51 | +23% |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14? | Jan 14 | $146 | −$146 | -100% |
| Partizan vs. Olympiacos B.C. | Jan 14 | $50 | $0 | -1% |
| Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? | Jan 13 | $50 | −$48 | -97% |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13? | Jan 13 | $80 | −$57 | -71% |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | Jan 13 | $50 | +$15 | +30% |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | Jan 13 | $55 | +$26 | +48% |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | Jan 13 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Jan 13 | $78 | −$56 | -72% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? | Jan 13 | $101 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Everton win on 2024-12-04? | Dec 04 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-04? | Dec 04 | $12 | +$8 | +68% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04? | Dec 04 | $10 | +$14 | +139% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Dec 04 | $21 | −$5 | -24% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Dec 04 | $29 | −$8 | -27% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | Dec 04 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Daniel Penny sentenced to more than 10 years years? | Dec 03 | $15 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Leicester win on 2024-12-03? | Dec 03 | $7 | +$6 | +88% |