Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4a75…d8df
crypto · 631 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$104 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$104 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses341 / 290
Open positions0
Markets (closed)631 / 631
History coverage11d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day62.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$101
14 days−$104
30 days−$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 518 -7.2% -16.0% 56% 47% -13.8%
≤30d 631 -6.4% -15.3% 54% 47% -13.5%
≤90d 631 -6.4% -15.3% 54% 47% -13.5%
all 631 -6.4% -15.3% 54% 47% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 47% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 44% -21.7%
15% -30.8% 39% -29.3%
20% -37.6% 34% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1022 history records