trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 15 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 60% | 7% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.7% | 7% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -38.2% | 0% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -44.2% | 0% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -49.6% | 0% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 23? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 15? | Jun 15 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 13? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 17? | Apr 13 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 28? | Mar 16 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 11? | Feb 26 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 31? | Feb 09 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025? | Feb 09 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Pacers | Jan 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Jan 22 | $651 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election? | Nov 11 | $11 | −$8 | -76% |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? | Nov 11 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4 | Nov 06 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate? | Oct 28 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 12 | $724 | −$6 | -1% |