Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:43:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4aab…297c
crypto · 1141 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$24 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses675 / 466
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1141 / 1141
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day403.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 1141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 60¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 58¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 58¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 40¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 58¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 47¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 55¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 60¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$47
other 14% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 8m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1141 +1.4% -8.3% 59% 59% -8.8%
≤30d 1141 +1.4% -8.3% 59% 59% -8.8%
≤90d 1141 +1.4% -8.3% 59% 59% -8.8%
all 1141 +1.4% -8.3% 59% 59% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover403.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 59% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 59% -17.5%
15% -25.1% 59% -25.5%
20% -32.4% 59% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1817 history records