Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4ab0…5c52
crypto · 205 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$36
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses124 / 70
Open positions11
Markets (closed)194 / 205
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day304.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 11 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 53¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$40
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 -4.9% -14.0% 64% 56% -13.0%
≤30d 194 -4.9% -14.0% 64% 56% -13.0%
≤90d 194 -4.9% -14.0% 64% 56% -13.0%
all 194 -4.9% -14.0% 64% 56% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover304.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 56% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 45% -21.3%
15% -29.7% 30% -28.9%
20% -36.6% 21% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.93 · official $8.95 (match) · 432 history records