Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4af9…5ef2
sports · 109 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$86 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$85
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses36 / 72
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions1
Markets (closed)108 / 109
History coverage104d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$4
14 days−$10
30 days−$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 12¢ 8¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Royal Challengers Bangalore 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Royal Challengers Bangalore 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 13¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India India 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Delhi Capitals 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan Sri Lanka 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand South Africa 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Chennai Super Kings 38¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Bangladesh 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders Delhi Capitals 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings Quetta Gladiators 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Islamabad United Hyderabad Kingsmen 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India England 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Sunrisers Hyderabad 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 35¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand New Zealand 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Qinwen Zheng 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges Tomas Etcheverry 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $2 +$3 +125%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 09 $2 −$1 -28%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 09 $6 +$4 +66%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $5 −$1 -26%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $1 $0 -18%
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 08 $3 −$1 -18%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $1 $0 +30%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 07 $8 +$3 +35%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 07 $7 −$3 -51%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Kent Jun 07 $3 $0 +12%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $2 +$1 +26%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies Jun 03 $3 +$4 +124%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 03 $7 −$4 -56%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $3 $0 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -95%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $4 $0 +7%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan May 31 $3 +$2 +67%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $2 −$2 -90%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesex May 30 $4 −$4 -100%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 30 $5 −$5 -99%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $5 +$4 +88%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 28 $10 −$10 -98%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshire May 27 $2 $0 +20%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $17 −$11 -68%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $15 −$2 -10%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire May 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royer May 24 $2 $0 +22%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $25 −$24 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges May 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $16 −$1 -6%
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Gloucestershire May 23 $3 +$4 +169%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $8 +$7 +80%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Glamorgan May 23 $2 −$2 -100%
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Durham May 22 $3 −$3 -100%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Kent May 22 $2 −$1 -50%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 22 $30 −$30 -99%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 21 $1 −$1 -97%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $20 −$20 -98%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $31 −$23 -75%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $41 +$49 +121%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 17 $10 −$5 -51%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans May 16 $83 −$81 -98%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $20 +$14 +68%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $23 +$10 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$76
crypto 22% −$1
other 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 30¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 20¢ $1 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $2 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 36¢ $5 34h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 14¢ $1 35h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 19¢ $1 35h
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche BUY Luca Van Assche 28¢ $1 2d
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire SELL Lancashire 20¢ $1 2d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent SELL Essex 74¢ $7 2d
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire BUY Lancashire 26¢ $2 2d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent SELL Essex 49¢ $1 2d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent SELL Essex 40¢ $2 2d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent BUY Essex 33¢ $0 2d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent BUY Essex 33¢ $2 2d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent BUY Essex 37¢ $2 2d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent BUY Essex 40¢ $2 2d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian BUY Qinwen Zheng 38¢ $1 4d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian BUY Qinwen Zheng 38¢ $1 4d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian SELL Qinwen Zheng 50¢ $2 4d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian BUY Qinwen Zheng 38¢ $2 4d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian SELL Qinwen Zheng 46¢ $1 4d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian BUY Qinwen Zheng 44¢ $1 4d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 4d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 4d
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio SELL Pierluigi Basile 6¢ $1 4d
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio BUY Pierluigi Basile 16¢ $1 4d
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson SELL Clara Tauson 51¢ $1 4d
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio BUY Pierluigi Basile 18¢ $1 4d
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio SELL Pierluigi Basile 22¢ $0 4d
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio SELL Pierluigi Basile 32¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-30.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +2.9% -6.9% 50% 50% -0.0%
≤30d 50 -29.6% -36.3% 36% 34% -38.6%
≤90d 103 -20.2% -27.8% 34% 32% -12.6%
all 108 -22.7% -30.1% 33% 31% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.1% 31% -12.8%
10% -36.8% 28% -21.2%
15% -42.9% 24% -28.8%
20% -48.5% 22% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.20 · official $1.20 (match) · 456 history records